In the Media
Tuesday, November 3rd 2020
Join Matt Amberson on the Options Insider Election 2020 Special Tonight
What will the market do after the election? What happened in 2016 and 2000 in a contested election? Join us for a lively, no politics discussion.
Summary
Join the Options Insider Election 2020 Special to discuss the impact of the election on the markets, look back at the 2016 markets, and explore potential options trades. The current implied volatility surface suggests bumpy times ahead, with IV at 30% compared to 20% in 2016.
Join Christopher Hausman, CMT of Swan Global Investments, Mark Longo of The Options Insider, and me for a no politics election night special tonight at 6 pm CST.
We will consider:
- How will the election (and its aftermath) impact the markets?
- A look back at the 2016 markets and what happened after.
- What options trades may do well?
- How might you position your portfolio between now and Inauguration Day?
The Options Insider Election Night Special will answer these questions and many more — including listener questions!
Here's what the market looked like in 2016 when Donald Trump unexpectedly won. The market was trending down into the election and implied volatility was up. After the election, the market popped higher and vol fell.
For a couple of weeks, the market has fallen and implied volatility is up. Today and yesterday has seen a reversal of those trends.
What will happen? If the election goes like the last one in 2016, many say the market will go on its merry way up. However, after the contested election between Bush Jr. and Gore in 2000, the market was pummeled after the election.
The current implied volatility surface of the market suggest that there are bumpy times ahead. Whereas, the 2016 market IV was at 20%, today it is at 30%. ORATS contango was at -2 now its at -3. Look out...
Disclaimer:
The opinions and ideas presented herein are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to represent trading or investment advice tailored to your investment objectives. You should not rely solely on any content herein and we strongly encourage you to discuss any trades or investments with your broker or investment adviser, prior to execution. None of the information contained herein constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Option trading and investing involves risk and is not suitable for all investors.
All opinions are based upon information and systems considered reliable, but we do not warrant the completeness or accuracy, and such information should not be relied upon as such. We are under no obligation to update or correct any information herein. All statements and opinions are subject to change without notice.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. We do not, will not and cannot guarantee any specific outcome or profit. All traders and investors must be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment discussed herein.
Owners, employees, directors, shareholders, officers, agents or representatives of ORATS may have interests or positions in securities of any company profiled herein. Specifically, such individuals or entities may buy or sell positions, and may or may not follow the information provided herein. Some or all of the positions may have been acquired prior to the publication of such information, and such positions may increase or decrease at any time. Any opinions expressed and/or information are statements of judgment as of the date of publication only.
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